Forecast

Automatically generated predictions based on notes I've made on things I've read

2018

Singapore, among the world’s most expensive places to own a vehicle, will stop increasing the total number of cars on its roads next year.

Singapore to Stop Adding Cars in February 2018

The global economy is on its best roll in years and set to do better in 2018

Global growth? Sure. But still not much inflation pressure: Reuters poll

the company plans to release a new version of ARKit software tools as soon as 2018. They could help developers create software that remembers accurately where a digital object was placed in a virtual space, using a technology called persistent tracking; you look away, and the object is still there.

Apple to Ramp Up Work on Augmented Reality Headset

A new Forrester Research report, Predictions 2018: The Honeymoon For AI Is Over, predicts that in 2018 enterprises will finally move beyond the hype to recognize that AI requires hard work—planning, deploying, and governing it correctly.

10 Predictions For AI, Big Data, And Analytics in 2018

Utilities are expected to shut down more than 13,600 megawatts of coal plant capacity in 2018.

Coal's Future Remains Bleak One Year After Trump's Election

U.S. coal production is on track to rise more than 8% in 2017 over the previous year, to 790 million tons, according to the Energy Information Administration. But 2018 output is expected to decline.

Coal's Future Remains Bleak One Year After Trump's Election

The International Monetary Fund predicts that inflation in Venezuela will hit 650% this year and 2,300% in 2018.

Venezuela just defaulted, moving deeper into crisis

he has also begun the paperwork to bring a clinical trial of the drug to the U.S. That trial could begin as early as next year.

The Amish may hold the secret to long life in their genes

Apple says it needs more time, and it will delay its answer to the Amazon Echo and Google Home into early 2018.

Apple won’t launch its HomePod speaker this year after all

Miso Robotics has built a kitchen assistant robot called Flippy, which from early 2018 is expected to be grilling burgers in CaliBurger restaurants.

Robot restaurants put a new spin on fast casual

The Chinese search engine giant Baidu is planning to commence small-scale production and trial operations of its fully autonomous minibuses in July, 2018

Baidu to begin small-scale production of fully automative vehicles next year | ZDNet

2019

Around 40 percent of the 134 economists who answered an extra question said global inflation pressures won’t pick up until 2019 or beyond while a quarter said they were unlikely to rebound at all.

Global growth? Sure. But still not much inflation pressure: Reuters poll

Just $100 million of high-yield retail borrowings were set to mature this year, but that will increase to $1.9 billion in 2018, according to Fitch Ratings Inc. And from 2019 to 2025, it will balloon to an annual average of almost $5 billion.

America’s ‘Retail Apocalypse’ Is Really Just Beginning

Apple Inc., seeking a breakthrough product to succeed the iPhone, aims to have technology ready for an augmented-reality headset in 2019 and could ship a product as early as 2020.

Apple to Ramp Up Work on Augmented Reality Headset

New Jersey Senate President Stephen Sweeney, a Democrat, told the Washington Examiner he feels confident that legalization will become law before April, with stores opening sometime in 2019.

Legal pot in 100 days? New Jersey's next governor aims for national first

Market-leading companies could have 30% of their revenues siphoned off AI software platforms by 2019.

Artificial Intelligence Is Already Common -- and It's About to Take Over

Khosrowshahi has said that he wants to move his company closer toward profitability with the hopes of taking Uber public by the end of 2019.

Lyft Set to Claim Third of U.S. Market in 2017

Baidu will also launch fully automative cars with Chinese automobile brands JAC Motors and BAIC Motor in 2019

Baidu to begin small-scale production of fully automative vehicles next year | ZDNet

Volvo Cars said it has agreed to supply Uber Technologies Inc. with a fleet of 24,000 self-driving taxis beginning in 2019

Volvo Promises Uber Fleet of 24,000 Self-Driving Taxis by 2019

2020

80 percent of business executives from 835 companies across 13 global industry sectors said they're already investing in AI, and almost 100 percent will do so by 2020.

Robotic brains - the countdown begins|HongKong Business|chinadaily.com.cn

Apple Inc., seeking a breakthrough product to succeed the iPhone, aims to have technology ready for an augmented-reality headset in 2019 and could ship a product as early as 2020.

Apple to Ramp Up Work on Augmented Reality Headset

Analyst firm Gartner predicted that 85% of all customer interactions will take place without a human agent by 2020.

Everyone is freaking out about artificial intelligence stealing jobs and leading to war — and totally missing the point

in Vietnam domestic demand for sand exceeds the country’s total reserves. If this mismatch continues, the country may run out of construction sand by 2020

The World Is Running Out of Sand

China had 176 million surveillance cameras in operation last year and the speed of growth is expected to see that figure more than triple to reach 626 million by 2020

China to have 626M surveillance cameras within 3 years

2021

automation will result in a net loss of 480,000 jobs in India by 2021

India Warily Eyes AI - MIT Technology Review

The chipmaker’s CEO Jensen Huang said that because of advances in artificial intelligence in 2021 there will be fully autonomous vehicles driving on the road

Nvidia’s CEO: fully autonomous cars will be on the road in 4 years | Fast Company

2022

Renault will specifically launch more than 15 models of cars with different levels of autonomous driving capabilities by 2022.

Renault shows off self-driving car that can avoid obstacles as well as pro test drivers

2023

2024

2025

At this rate, over a 100 million youth will have no jobs by 2025

How AI and robots are eating desperately-needed jobs in India | ZDNet

Forrester predicts that will eliminate 6 percent of all US jobs within the next three years, and while AI will create new jobs, the net loss by 2025 will be 7 percent.

AI is synonymous with job automation in the minds of American workers

2026

Clean-energy workers, like solar-panel installers and wind-turbine technicians, are the only occupations that are expected to double by 2026.

BLS 10-year forecast: robot cashiers, math nerds, and many healthcare workers

2027

The age at which people can claim their full Social Security benefits is gradually moving up, from 65 for those retiring in 2002 to 67 in 2027.

Americans Are Retiring Later, Dying Sooner and Sicker In-Between

It will be replaced by renewables, which the IEEFA predicts will account for 27% by 2027.

This refers to coal being replaced in India. Nearly 40% of all new power capacity in India this year is solar

2028

2029

2029 is the consistent date I have predicted for when an AI will pass a valid Turing test and therefore achieve human levels of intelligence.

Prediction by Ray Kurzweil. Counterpoint: The case against an AI god

2030

AI-related industries are expected to generate up to 26% of China’s gross domestic product (GDP) by 2030.

China's powerhouses focus on AI to surpass the US

AI technologies are anticipated to contribute up to $16 trillion to the global economy by 2030.

China's powerhouses focus on AI to surpass the US

Keynes predicted that, assuming no catastrophic events, the standard of living in advanced economies would be so much higher by 2030 that “for the first time since his creation man will be faced with his real, his permanent problem - how to use his freedom from pressing economic cares, how to occupy the leisure,” and most people would be working a 15-hour week or so, which would satisfy their need to work in order to feel useful and contended.

Where Is Technology Taking the Economy?

2031

2032

2034

2035

According to a report by global advisory firm Accenture, AI application would raise productivity worldwide by up to 40 percent in 2035.

Robotic brains - the countdown begins|HongKong Business|chinadaily.com.cn

the driverless car industry, which officials estimate will be worth £28 billion to the economy by 2035 and support 27,000 jobs

This is in the United Kingdom. The economic value and number of jobs estimated is likely well below the value and number of jobs of human drivers that will be displaced. Hammond vows to put driverless cars on the roads by 2021

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

Exxon predicts 90 percent of the transportation industry will rely on petroleum through 2040.

Peak oil? Majors aren't buying into the threat from renewables

2041

2042

2043

2044

2045

I have set the date 2045 for the ‘Singularity’ which is when we will multiply our effective intelligence a billion fold by merging with the intelligence we have created.

Prediction by Ray Kurzweil. Counterpoint: The case against an AI god

2046

2047

Billionaire tech mogul Masayoshi Son, 60, said that by 2047 artificial intelligence (AI) will have reached an IQ of 10,000.

Robots will be 100 times smarter than humans in 30 years' time

2048

2049

2050

It's been estimated that around 15 million men between the ages of 35 and 59 won't be able to find wives by 2020, reported People's Daily, and by 2050 the number would grow to nearly 30 million.

This is in China. Engineer, 31, marries his inflatable robot girlfriend

According to the UN, the number of people aged 60 years and older has tripled since 1950, and the combined senior and geriatric population is projected to reach 2.1 billion by 2050.

Workers Displaced by Machines Could Become Caregivers for Humans

2051

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