This occupation has a very high probability of automation.

83.0% probability

of automation

-2.1% growth

projected to 2026

41,800 employed

currently in the US

$58,220 annual wage

US, median ($27.99 hourly)

What they do

Coordinate activities of switch-engine crew within railroad yard, industrial plant, or similar location. Conductors coordinate activities of train crew on passenger or freight trains. Yardmasters review train schedules and switching orders and coordinate activities of workers engaged in railroad traffic operations, such as the makeup or breakup of trains and yard switching.

Risk of automation

This occupation is 83.0% likely to be automated. It ranks 459 of 702 occupations analyzed (higher rank means higher likelihood).

People affected and economic value

In the US, 41,800 people have this job. They earn $58,220 per year on average (the mean annual wage). The occupation therefore represents $2,433,596,000 in annual economic value. The mean hourly wage for this occupation is $27.99.

Official growth forecast

This occupation is projected to shrink -2.1% between 2016 and 2026. At this rate, there would be 41,000 people with this job at that time.

References and notes

This article uses data from "The Future of Employment" (PDF), a 2013 study from University of Oxford researchers, and US Bureau of Labor Statistics files including Standard Occupational Classification 2010 Definitions (XLS), May 2016 Occupational Employment Statistics (zip) and 2016-2026 Employment Projections (XLS).