This occupation has a moderate probability of automation.

69.0% probability

of automation

6.8% growth

projected to 2026

953,500 employed

currently in the US

$34,790 annual wage

US, median ($16.73 hourly)

What they do

Drive a light vehicle, such as a truck or van, with a capacity of less than 26,000 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW), primarily to deliver or pick up merchandise or to deliver packages. May load and unload vehicle. Excludes “Couriers and Messengers" (43-5021) and “Driver/Sales Workers” (53-3031).

Risk of automation

This occupation is 69.0% likely to be automated. It ranks 380 of 702 occupations analyzed (higher rank means higher likelihood).

People affected and economic value

In the US, 953,500 people have this job. They earn $34,790 per year on average (the mean annual wage). The occupation therefore represents $33,172,265,000 in annual economic value. The mean hourly wage for this occupation is $16.73.

Official growth forecast

This occupation is projected to grow 6.8% between 2016 and 2026. At this rate, there would be 1,018,300 people with this job at that time.

References and notes

This article uses data from "The Future of Employment" (PDF), a 2013 study from University of Oxford researchers, and US Bureau of Labor Statistics files including Standard Occupational Classification 2010 Definitions (XLS), May 2016 Occupational Employment Statistics (zip) and 2016-2026 Employment Projections (XLS).