This occupation has a near certain probability of automation.

98.0% probability

of automation

-1.2% growth

projected to 2026

467,900 employed

currently in the US

$28,440 annual wage

US, median ($13.67 hourly)

What they do

Drive truck or other vehicle over established routes or within an established territory and sell or deliver goods, such as food products, including restaurant take-out items, or pick up or deliver items such as commercial laundry. May also take orders, collect payment, or stock merchandise at point of delivery. Includes newspaper delivery drivers. Excludes "Coin, Vending, and Amusement Machine Servicers and Repairers" (49-9091) and "Light Truck or Delivery Services Drivers" (53-3033).

Risk of automation

This occupation is 98.0% likely to be automated. It ranks 674 of 702 occupations analyzed (higher rank means higher likelihood).

People affected and economic value

In the US, 467,900 people have this job. They earn $28,440 per year on average (the mean annual wage). The occupation therefore represents $13,307,076,000 in annual economic value. The mean hourly wage for this occupation is $13.67.

Official growth forecast

This occupation is projected to shrink -1.2% between 2016 and 2026. At this rate, there would be 462,400 people with this job at that time.

References and notes

This article uses data from "The Future of Employment" (PDF), a 2013 study from University of Oxford researchers, and US Bureau of Labor Statistics files including Standard Occupational Classification 2010 Definitions (XLS), May 2016 Occupational Employment Statistics (zip) and 2016-2026 Employment Projections (XLS).