This occupation has a very high probability of automation.

89.0% probability

of automation

6.3% growth

projected to 2026

191,000 employed

currently in the US

$27,110 annual wage

US, median ($13.04 hourly)

What they do

Mix and bake ingredients to produce breads, rolls, cookies, cakes, pies, pastries, or other baked goods. Pastry chefs in restaurants and hotels are included with "Chefs and Head Cooks" (35-1011).

Risk of automation

This occupation is 89.0% likely to be automated. It ranks 522 of 702 occupations analyzed (higher rank means higher likelihood).

People affected and economic value

In the US, 191,000 people have this job. They earn $27,110 per year on average (the mean annual wage). The occupation therefore represents $5,178,010,000 in annual economic value. The mean hourly wage for this occupation is $13.04.

Official growth forecast

This occupation is projected to grow 6.3% between 2016 and 2026. At this rate, there would be 203,100 people with this job at that time.

References and notes

This article uses data from "The Future of Employment" (PDF), a 2013 study from University of Oxford researchers, and US Bureau of Labor Statistics files including Standard Occupational Classification 2010 Definitions (XLS), May 2016 Occupational Employment Statistics (zip) and 2016-2026 Employment Projections (XLS).